Cancer Prevention


Spring 2003, Issue 1

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Population Screening for Inherited Cancer-Related Gene Mutations

Victor R. Grann, MD, MPH
Clinical Professor of Medicine and Epidemiology

Judith S. Jacobson, DrPH, MBA
Assistant Professor of Epidemiology
Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons
New York, New York

Over the past five years, a number of tests for germline (heritable) gene mutations associated with high risk for certain cancers, such as breast cancer, have become available (Table 1). Appropriately used, such tests may lead to reductions in morbidity and mortality. However, the value of screening and preventive treatments for individuals with cancer-related mutations in different populations depends on a number of factors. In addition to sensitivity, specificity, and predictive value, key criteria for screening include: mutation prevalence (how common the mutation is in a given population), mutation penetrance (the cancer risk that the mutation confers in that population), disease mortality, age at screening, and the potential effects of screening and primary preventive measures on disease incidence, quality of life, and health care costs.

Screening is the use of a medical test in a defined population of asymptomatic individuals to identify those who have undetected disease or an elevated risk of developing disease.(1) Common cancer screening tests, such as mammography and sigmoidoscopy, differ from tests for cancer-related mutations in several respects (Tables 2 and 3). Most cancer screening tests detect but do not predict disease.(2) For that reason, individuals who have had a negative (normal) test result usually need to be tested again; the recommended interval between tests depends mainly on what is known about the latency of the disease.

Figure 1: Estimated effects of mutation penetrance on survival benefits of preventive intervention for women with BRCA 1, BRAC2 mutation.
Cancer screening tests provide information only about the individual tested; they identify conditions that occur often enough, or are serious enough, to justify testing all asymptomatic individuals in a defined population (e.g., every adult over age 50 years for colorectal cancer).(1) The tests usually involve sampling or imaging the target tissue or organ. Some cancer screening tests, such as colonoscopy and Pap smears, can lead to the identification and removal of premalignant lesions, thereby reducing the patient's risk of developing invasive cancer. But more often, these and other screening tests, such as mammography, do not prevent the development of the disease; they serve only to detect early stage disease, when treatment is more likely to prevent death.

In contrast, genetic tests can identify cancer-related germline mutations in cells from any conveniently sampled tissue (e.g., blood) in disease-free individuals or in patients with the disease who have unaffected family members who may be at risk and also can be tested. Disease-free individuals who test positive for cancer-related mutations are candidates for aggressive primary preventive measures.(3,4) To the extent that such measures are available and effective, genetic testing can prevent people at high risk for cancer from developing the disease. In addition, genetic tests need to be done only once per individual.

Germline mutations that cause significant morbidity and mortality at a relatively young age are generally quite rare in the population for obvious evolutionary reasons. Tests for cancer-related germline mutations should therefore not be used in the general population; candidates for testing should meet specific guidelines, usually involving family or personal medical history or membership in an ethnic group in which the mutation is known to be common.(5) Sensitivity, specificity, and predictive value, the common criteria by which screening tests are evaluated, are relevant to genetic screening but have a special meaning in the genetic context.

The predictive value of a positive nongenetic test is the probability that an individual with a positive test result will have the disease.(1) Strictly speaking, the predictive value of a positive genetic test is the probability that an individual who tests positive will have the mutation.(1,6) The effects of penetrance, or the probability that an individual who tests positive will develop the disease, are shown in Figure 1 as it relates to breast cancer.

Ideally, randomized clinical trials or observational studies would be in progress now to assess the costs, quality of life, and survival associated with genetic testing and the use of preventive strategies by those who tested positive. A few observational studies are in progress, but their results are not yet available. Meanwhile, patients, physicians, and policy makers still need to make decisions about testing.

Familial cancer risk is a sensitive issue. In our preference rating survey, individuals contemplating genetic testing were less concerned about their personal risk for cancer than about the possible increased risk for their children.(7) An individual who tests positive for a cancer-related germline mutation has a moral obligation to notify at-risk relatives, but it is not pleasant to have to tell one's relatives that they may be at risk for a serious disease because of a germline gene mutation. Family members often differ in their willingness to find out whether they have the mutation or to share that information with others. Genetic counseling can help individuals and families to deal with these issues and may be essential to the success of a genetic screening program.(8-10)

The future holds the promise of rapid, inexpensive, and accurate tests that may empower individuals to make preventive treatment decisions that enhance their lives. However, even if genetic tests become very inexpensive, they will not be appropriate for general population screening. If genetic screening policy is based on sound epidemiological principles, rather than on consumer demand and third-party willingness to pay, it holds the potential to enhance the public health and the public good.



Table1. Selected Hereditary Neoplastic Syndromes(11)
Syndromes
Site(s) of Most Common Cancer(s)
Associated Gene(s)
Clinical Test Available
Research Test Available
Hereditary Breast-Ovarian Cancer
Breast, ovary
BRCA1, BRCA2
+
 
Cowden's
Breast, thyroid
PTEN
+
 
Li-Fraumeni
Brain, breast, adrenal cortex, leukemia, sarcoma
TP53
+
 
Familial Adenomatous Polyposis
Large bowel, small bowel, brain (Turcot's), skin, bone (Gardner's)
APC
+
 
Hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal cancer
Colorectal and endometrium, also ovary, pancreas, stomach, small bowel
MSH2, MLH1, PMS1, PMS2, MSH6
+
+
+
Multiple endocrine neoplasia (MEN1)
Pancreatic islet cell, pituitary adenoma, parathyroid adenoma
MEN1
+
 
(MEN2)
Medullary thyroid, pheochromocytoma
RET
+
 
Neurofibromatosis1
Neurofibrosarcoma, pheochromocytoma
NF1
+
 
Von Hippel-Lindau
Hemangioblastoma, nervous system, renal cell
VHL
+
 
Retinoblastoma
Eye, bone
RB1
+
 
Melanoma
Skin
CDKN2/p16, CDK4
+
+
 
Basal cell
Skin
PTCH
+
 
 
Table 2. Features of Tests for Cancer and Cancer-related Gene Mutations
Feature
Cancer Screening Tests
Tests for Cancer-related Gene Mutations
Relationship to disease
Detect actual disease; some tests detect common precursors
Detect genetic mutation associated with high risk for disease; do not detect disease
How often administered
Once if positive (although some tests are also used to follow diagnosed cases); at prescribed intervals based on disease latency if negative
Once
Candidates for screening
All asymptomatic individuals in a defined population
Individuals with or without disease who have a family or personal medical history or belong to an ethnic group known to have a high probability of a mutation
 
Table 3. Criteria for Screening for Cancer and Cancer-related Gene Mutations
Criteria
Cancer Screening Tests
Tests for Cancer-related Gene Mutations
Sensitivity
Among those who have the disease, the proportion whose test result is positive (abnormal)
Among those who have the mutation, the proportion whose test result is positive (abnormal)
Specificity
Among those who do not have the disease, the proportion whose test result is negative (normal)
Among those who do not have the mutation, the proportion whose test result is negative (normal)
Positive predictive value
Among those who test positive, the proportion who have the disease
Among those who test positive, the proportion who have the mutation
Prevalence
The proportion of the population who have the disease
The proportion of the population who have the mutation
Penetrance
N/A
The proportion of the population with the mutation who will develop the disease
Disease mortality
The proportion of the population who will die from the disease; the primary purpose of most nongenetic testing is to reduce mortality from the disease
The case fatality rate among those with the mutation, compared to that for the disease in the general population or among those with other mutations that affect risk for the same disease.
Age at screening
Depends on age when disease is likely to occur
Because mutations are present at birth, depends on trade-off between minimizing adverse disease outcomes and protecting rights of children
Effects of Testing and Preventive Measures on:
Disease incidence
N/A; nongenetic testing does not usually reduce disease incidence
The reduction in incidence due to screening plus preventive measures for those who test positive
Quality of life
Stigma, discrimination, psychological and physical sequelae of testing vs reduction in morbidity due to the disease by screening and early treatment
Stigma, discrimination, psychological sequelae of testing, invasiveness of preventive measures vs reduction in disease incidence and related morbidity by screening and prevention
Costs
Costs of screening and treating preclinical or clinical disease vs costs of treating disease when clinically detected
Costs of: genetic screening and preventive interventions for those who test positive for mutations vs alternative screening methods and treatment for additional cases
 
1.
Morrison A. Screening in chronic disease. Second ed. New York: Oxford University Press; 1992.
2.
Chabner BA, Haluska FG, Talcott JA. Screening strategies for cancer. Implications and results. JAMA. 1997;277(18):1475-6.
3.
Burke W, Daly M, Garber J, et al. Recommendations for follow-up care of individuals with an inherited predisposition to cancer II. BRCA1 and BRCA2. JAMA. 1997;277:997-1003.
4.
Burke W, Petersen G, Lynch P, Botkin J, Daly M, Garber J, et al. Recommendations for follow-up care of individuals with an inherited predisposition to cancer. I. Hereditary nonpolyposis colon cancer. Cancer Genetics Studies Consortium. JAMA. 1997;277(11):915-9.
5.
Olopade OI, Offit K, Garber JE. Genetic testing for susceptibility to cancer. Task Force on Cancer Genetics Education. JAMA. 1998;279(20):1612-3.
6.
Gordis L. Epidemiology. Philadelphia, PA: W.B. Saunders Company; 1996.
7.
Grann VR, Jacobson JS, Sundararajan V, Albert SM, Troxel AB, Neugut AI. The quality of life associated with prophylactic treatments for women with BRCA1/2 mutations [see comments]. Cancer J Sci Am. 1999;5(5):283-92.
8.
McKinnon WC, Baty BJ, Bennett RL, Magee M, Neufeld-Kaiser WA, Peters KF, et al. Predisposition genetic testing for late-onset disorders in adults. A position paper of the National Society of Genetic Counselors. JAMA. 1997;278(15):1217-20.
9.
Matloff ET, Shappell H, Brierley K, Bernhardt BA, McKinnon W, Peshkin BN. What would you do? Specialists' perspectives on cancer genetic testing, prophylactic surgery, and insurance discrimination. J Clin Oncol. 2000;18(12):2484-92.
10.
Geller G, Botkin JR, Green MJ, Press N, Biesecker BB, Wilfond B, et al. Genetic testing for susceptibility to adult-onset cancer. The process and content of informed consent. JAMA. 1997;277(18):1467-74.
11.
 
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